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Economist (macro). Coder (Python). Optimist (mostly).

Jun 28, 2020 7:17 PM
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More on public health response to unexpected evidence:

“The two-month delay was a product of faulty scientific assumptions, academic rivalries … The resistance to emerging evidence was one part of the world’s sluggish response to the virus.”


‘… models using data from Hong Kong, Singapore and China suggest that 30 to 60 percent of spreading occurs when people have no symptoms.

“This was, I think, a very simple truth,” Dr. Rothe said. “I was surprised that it would cause such a storm. I can’t explain it.”’

… Plus, preventing silent spreading required aggressive, widespread testing that was then impossible for most countries.

“It’s not like we had some easy alternative,” said Dr. Libman, the Canadian doctor. “The message was basically: ‘If this is true, we’re in trouble.’”